common sense

by Aziz Poonawalla on May 10, 2008

in Best Discussions,Science

The discussion in the various threads about obesity seem to be great examples of two sides talking right past each other. From reading what everyone has to say, I think that we can generalize to the following:

- the human body is a complex organism that reacts to sharply reduced food intake in a number of ways – primarily, but not exclusively, by burning fat stores.

- Thermodynamics are important, and fundamental, because reduced food = less energy for maintenance of the human body. So that energy has to come from somewhere.

- People who are obese – defined in the medical sense of being X pounds above the “ideal” (averaged) weight for their height – are fundamentally unhealthy. Anyone who is obese, in the medical sense – is NOT where their biology wants them to be.

- People who are overweight may just be where they are because that’s their natural, genetics-defined weight.

- people who are obese CAN lose weight down towards a more “natural” level if they diet (eat less overall, and eat more nutritiously) and excercise (routine physical activity that raises your heart rate). This must be a permanent lifestyle change for the weight loss to be maintained.

- Making a permanent lifestyle change is very hard and very few people can do it. Those who can, are certainly lucky. Others might need to staple their stomachs.

- A regular regimen of diet and excercise over a period of time Y will result in some weight loss, over period Y.

- If you are obese, and you think to yourself “it is just genetics, and mainstream research shows that diet and excercise do not help and I will probably be at the same weight I am now after 5 years” then you are being a fatalistic, lazy fool. Just because the weight loss does not “maintain” does not mean you should not do the diet and excercise anyway. You should, and anyone who tells you you’ll be fat again in 5 years anyway can kiss your ass.

Now, take issue with whatever assertion you like. But let’s try and keep things focused. If you want me to add an assertion, let me know so I can edit the post.

{ 2 trackbacks }

Some assertions on my flavor of libertarianism — Dean’s World
May 13, 2008 at 1:39 pm
Obesity Discussion Continues — Dean’s World
May 15, 2008 at 11:44 am

{ 52 comments }

1 zach May 10, 2008 at 11:14 pm

i would add that weight loss should not necessarily be anyone’s goal when considering diet and exercise.  eating healthy (does not mean fanatically healthy, just normal, everyday, everything-in-moderation healthy) and exercising regularly are benefits in and of themselves and should be undertaken regardless of one’s weight.

2 Aziz Poonawalla May 10, 2008 at 11:17 pm

anecdote alert! I am 5’8" and weighed 170, but managed to drop to 145 over a period of a couple months at the tail end of my wife’s pregnancy. This was achieved with a combination of drinking coffee in lieu of snacks, drinking coffee in lieue of lunch, drinking coffee in lieu of breakfast, getting no sleep (hence the coffee), and also running arond like a maniac preparing for a birth, and a move from Texas to Wisconsin, and ending a postdoc, and a bunch of other things.

If I did the calculation right, even though I swung in weight about 30 lbs (at max extent) at no time did I ever or was I ever outside the boundaries of a normal BMI. Go figure …

Aziz Poonawalla’s last blog post..IQ and pseudoscience

3 Scott Kirwin May 10, 2008 at 11:29 pm

Aziz
One thing I might mention is that your body adjusts to dieting over the long-term, so that if you cut back on calories to lose weight eventually you will eventually gain it back by a slowed metabolism.

For instance, say you are 20 lbs overweight on a 2,800 day/cal diet. You cut back to 2,000 religiously and drop say, 15 lbs. If you stay at 2,000 calories your weight is going to creep up again over a long period of time because your metabolism adjusts to the new diet.

Anyone who thinks that weight loss is simply a matter of diet (or diet and exercise if you ask me) is ignoring our biology. We are simply built for periods of near starvation and high activity, and no longer live that way anymore.  Either we go back to hunting/gathering or figure out a way to control our bodies.

4 Michael Gersh May 11, 2008 at 12:21 am

Aziz; no matter how much you alter your diet and exercise regimen, there is no way I know of to make you tall enough to date a supermodel. Just the same, there is no way to make someone who has been 285 pounds for the last few decades thin enough to be a supermodel.

My older brother has lost at least a ton and a half dieting over the last few decades,  so you can’t tell me that dieting does not work.

My brother is no more "fundamentally unhealthy" than you are. Many studies have shown that he would have been much more healthy today if he had never listened to those who, like you, claim to know the "ideal weight" for him. After all, what is your ideal height?  6′ 1"?

 I know hormones and treatments that will make you taller, just like you have ideas on diets and exercises that will help him to weigh less. What makes you so sure that you can invalidate him as obese, just as you invalidate my insistence that you are too short? You liberals are all alike. You care about the human race while being utterly indifferent to the suffering of individuals. My brother would have a life expectancy decades longer than what the doctors give him today if only he had never listened to you "do-gooders" who attracted him to your goal of an ideal society. He could have been fat and happy. Instead he is formerly skinny, and terminal. Are you happy, or will you say that you had nothing to do with it?

You say: "Making a permanent lifestyle change is very hard and very few people can do it.  Those who can, are certainly lucky. Others might need to staple their stomachs."

Lies and fraud! Instead you should have said: "Others might be well advised to be true to themselves, and do not listen to utopians who desire a homogeneous society, where everyone has the same weight and height that the proctors demand." You demand surgery so that people can conform to your utopian ideal? Then I demand surgery to make you tall enough to converse with me with making me bend down.

Michael Gersh’s last blog post..Solution to Pricey Fuel? Burn the Food!

5 maggie - labrat May 11, 2008 at 6:36 am

 People who are obese – defined in the medical sense of being X pounds above the “ideal” (averaged) weight for their height – are fundamentally unhealthy. Anyone who  is obese, in the medical sense – is NOT where their biology wants them to be.

Absolutely 100% disagree with this assertion.

Prove it. Show me the evidence.
Your post isn’t "common sense" it’s regurgitated propaganda.

6 ArnoldHarris May 11, 2008 at 7:47 am

Well, folks. I’m a living, walking example that Aziz’s assertions are correct.  I began a regular daily regimen of strenuous physical (cardiovascular) exercise more than 12 years ago.  Then I began eating under a controlled diet and portion size regimen a few years ago, along with specific treatments (simvastatin, hydrochlorothiazide) for cholesterol and blood pressure control. 

I couldn’t be happier with the results. Neither could my body, or most importantly, my wife be happier.  Now I have a going-on 60 year-old wife with the body of a 35 year old, and she has a 74-year-old husband with the body and cardivascular system of a much younger fella.

I little little about dietary sciences and nothing about the practice of medicine. But having been a science writer for a medical and public health PR firm in Chicago back in the early 1970s, I know conflicting propaganda when I see it. Sort of the way Dean sees it piled high and deep in regard to global warming.

Thanks, Aziz.  May Allah teach some of the folks who reside in Denial City a more useful way to live. I somehow suspect that he doesn’t let obese people into paradise when their hearts, arterial systems, lungs, livers or kidneys conk out at a premature age.

Arnold Harris
Mount Horeb WI

7 Edgar May 11, 2008 at 7:58 am

Bang on, Aziz.

Scott:

The body’s metabolism adjusts, but not to the degree people think it does. In the famous Minnesota Starvation Experiment, which was an extreme example, the subjects metabolism was lowered by only 10%, even with a 50% calorie deficit.

The body has a kind of "set point" – like a thermometer – that keeps a certain weight. In some unfortunate people, this weight will be quite high. Their body won’t want to stay at a lower weight. That doesn’t mean it isn’t possible, though. It just means that if you go back to your old eating habits, you will quickly regain the weight you lost.

Maggie:

You are right that being slightly or even moderately overweight is often not unhealthy. But if you are carrying enough fat that it stresses your internal organs then you are certainly unhealthy.

8 Dean Esmay May 11, 2008 at 9:47 am

It’s certainly true that some people talk past others; for example, it’s always amusing to watch people who’ve managed to drop 20 or 30 pounds proudly bragging about this as "proof" that thermodynamics and willpower matter. It’s not that they don’t matter, just that they’re just far from the most important factors if the question is chronic obesity, where the vast bulk of clinical research and experience overwhelmingly suggests that for the chronically overweight thermodynamics and willpower are among the least important factors.

For the chronically obese, willpower and thermodynamics rank right around the same level as how tight your pants are or what time of day you eat. Relevant, but hardly primary.

Here’s a proposal: will all you people who’ve never been obese for more than a few months, and who’ve never had to try to lose more than 20 or 30 pounds or so and keep it off, stop acting like you have some great insight? Your experience is only marginally relevant to this discussion.

Ditto you fatties who’ve been working out and exercising the last few months and point to your inevitable few pounds of droppage as proof of something–something that no one disputes. Every time we get into one of these discussions, chirpy fat people on their latest diet-and-exercise regimen chime in with "I’ve been watching what I eat for X months, and exercising on Y program, and I HAVE lost weight, so THERE!" Virtually anyone can do that. It proves nothing that matters. When you’ve gotten down to a weight state that is not considered obese by objective measures, and stayed there for five years, come talk to us. Otherwise, you’re just being a nuisance and distraction (and probably setting yourself up for worse failure in the future, by the way).

9 Dean Esmay May 11, 2008 at 10:05 am

OK, let’s look at Aziz’s assertions:

- the human body is a complex organism that reacts to sharply reduced food intake in a number of ways – primarily, but not exclusively, by burning fat stores.


Questionable. It reacts primarily to sharply reduced food intake by burning glycogen stores, by reducing its metabolic rate, by cannibalizing proteins (muscle tissue) and fat, and by causing physical depression (tiredness, poor mood) and sharply increasing hunger.

There is also substantial reason to believe that the fat storage-and-release mechanisms are messed up in chronically fat people, so that when the body SHOULD be burning its fat stores, it just goes into starvation mode instead, lowering the metabolism and even catabolizing muscle tissue preferentially over burning fat. To a certain extent it has to do this, especially if you’re not eating enough protein, because some body tissues require glucose and it’s quite difficult to convert fat into glucose (and glycogen stores deplete very quickly).

None of this should be surprising, as we were not designed for the lifestyle we actually live today, with food abundance and with hard manual labor rarely required. Nor should it be surprising that people only undergo food shortages (starvation) and heavy exercise regimens (brutally hard manual labor) when forced to do so. Nor should it be a surprise if some people’s bodies react differently to abundance than others, and are more likely to slip into a pathogenic state unintentionally where their bodies can’t burn fat “normally.” That doesn’t require “hormone problems,” just a body that can’t achieve homeostasis easily in modern conditions.


- Thermodynamics are important, and fundamental, because reduced food = less energy for maintenance of the human body. So that energy has to come from somewhere.

Since we are not living in an age or civilization where famine is a real phenomenon, thermodynamics have receded from being among the most important factors to being among the least. That’s my central assertion, and I’m far from alone in making that assertion; quite a few physicians who regularly treat obesity, and quite a few obesity researchers, agree.

- people who are obese CAN lose weight down towards a more “natural” level if they diet (eat less overall, and eat more nutritiously) and excercise (routine physical activity that raises your heart rate). This must be a permanent lifestyle change for the weight loss to be maintained.

Well, yes. Which also means that to be a permanent lifestyle change, it must be something they can actually live with. And, it’s important to emphasize the first part, where you say that obese people can lose weight "down towards" a more healthy level. For most obese people, for complex reasons that partly but do not entirely involve genetics, it is possible to move down towards a MORE healthy weight but probably not possible to get down to "slender" or even "ideal weight" and stay there.

Case in point: I was at one time exercising approximately 2 hours per day, about 6 days per week, and eating a strict low-fat, calorie-controlled diet. I dropped considerable poundage, but at some point hit a plateau and could never, no matter what I did or how hard I worked, get below about 225 pounds without being absolutely miserable (and even going with “absolutely miserable” I couldn’t get below 220). I was working with a professional trainer and dietician and following all the latest guidelines. And I was still medically obese, by both the generic weight charts and also by measuring body fat percentage. Nothing I did could get me below that number, nothing. Even though I was pretty much hungry and obsessing over food and tired all the time.

I now weigh about 245. I’m still obese. I’m considerably happier and less uncomfortable. I no longer obsess over food, nor do I feel the need to obsessively work out. Arguably, I’m healthier for all of this.

- If you are obese, and you think to yourself “it is just genetics, and mainstream research shows that diet and excercise do not help and I will probably be at the same weight I am now after 5 years” then you are being a fatalistic, lazy fool. Just because the weight loss does not “maintain” does not mean you should not do the diet and excercise anyway. You should, and anyone who tells you you’ll be fat again in 5 years anyway can kiss your ass.

Dangerous reasoning. One that experience shows often leads to people getting fatter and more despondent than ever. What’s most dangerous about it is that there is much evidence that unrealistic expectations caused by such careless statements massively increase people’s tendency toward obesity, making them fatter and harming their health greatly. Not to mention what it does to their self-image.

I don’t much disagree with the rest. :-)

10 P Mike May 11, 2008 at 10:08 am

The National Institutes of Health, Center for Disease Control, and the Surgeon General say that obesity is caused by eating more calories than your body uses over a long period of time (as close to a quote as I can do from memory; it’s on thier individual web sites).  They also say that exercise and diet are the correct method for solving it.

I am not obese, not particularly personally interested in obesity, don’t study obesity, don’t provide funding for obesity (except by virtue of income tax), do not have a dog in the fight — I am not known to believe in vast conspiracies and black helicoptors, but in light of global warming am open to considering that the medical establishment is oppressing obese peoples of the world.

11 Dean Esmay May 11, 2008 at 10:19 am

P Mike:

Here is a list of articles on the matter at the National Institutes of Health. Nothing so simplistic as you assert, and some of it directly contradicts your assertions.

Here is a bunch of CDC articles on the subject. Once again, they don’t say anything so simplistic as what you claim, and some of what they say is directly in disagreement with you.

Here is a bunch of stuff from the Surgeon General. As with the other two sources, they are nowhere near as simplistic nor as foolish as your assertions.

So, P Mike, it appears to me that if there’s any “conspiracy” here, it’s a conspiracy of know-it-all jackasses who don’t bother to actually research anything before opening their mouths.

12 willem May 11, 2008 at 11:29 am

Good stuff. 

There’s a hysteresis effect tied to what is frequently called the metabolic set point or something similar as mentioned above.

Last I recall, there are well over 5,000 known metabolic reactions ongoing in human body simultaneously. There are more to be discovered. Then there’s the magic of "transports" (Hediger) and beyond. It boggles the mind.

Most of us are born in due health to optimize that set point; maintaining an optimal hysteresis, or "resonance" among these dynamic, spontaneous processes until it degrades over time. Derange that optimal hysteresis and you get disease. As it relates to accumulation of adipose fat and the subsequent increased loss of motion, activity and range, the hysteresis is always there, but the center point moves in an increasing pathological direction further adapting to whatever damaging turn our life takes. It moves slowly. Sometimes very slowly. Either way.

Being trapped in the state of obesity is not unlike being inside a bag where you can punch and punch with great particular effort, but the bag doesn’t really change much, and it doesn’t move far from where it is, if at all. There are a preponderance of metabolic reactions and biochemical variances to be re-ranged before weight loss produces a change in phase state. 

Besides caloric reduction, there are toxicological considerations to weight loss in the obese. It’s a form of detox. There’s plenty of toxins stored in that fat. One of the most important dynamics in obesity involves the inflammatory pressure it creates. Obesity is a strong proinflammatory condition, selecting for an array of other disease risks from heart disease to diabetes, depending on your genetic predisposition.

So, whatever your weight or age, keep a very close watch on your CRP (C-reactive protein) level. That’s one to watch if longevity is your goal. 

If you’re obese, think more in terms of a detox strategy with exercise and caloric restriction. Ironically, most obese are malnourished due to the deranging and anti-nutrients present. Obesity is a state of intoxication.

Better to think of obesity not as a maladaptive response, but as a failing effective adaptive response to maladapted metabolic and lifestyle phenomena. There is an emerging theory about life-stress selecting for fat accumulation as an evolutionary response. Makes sense that fat/fuel would be stored by mammals under sufficient chronic stress as prelude to coerced change.

So much to learn. And it matters to all of us. With our magnificent food packaging technology, we have created a feedlot without fences. Foods white and brown are everywhere. They store perfectly. The molds therein are not well studied, most of the mycotoxins therein are not understood as low dose chronic toxins. It is obvious they are not acutely toxic and our bodies tolerate them, but, it is utterly naive to think they are benign. In fact, looking at the American population, it seems apparent they are not.

We outlaw opium, but not glutens or caseins which are nearly stereochemically equivalent, and impact the blood/brain barrier in similar fashion. We have not fully studied the potentiation/concentration of corn mold toxins in corn syrup sweeteners, which are distillation products, which are in a majority of all packaged foods.

Obese people are a portal into a system which needs careful, thoughtful reassessment. It’s the most important public health issue of our time.

13 willow May 11, 2008 at 11:40 am

Dean: How are these obese people you keep citing getting obese? If they’re getting obese by eating a balanced healthy diet and getting a reasonable amount of exercise, then I agree with you, clearly something genetic or hormonal is at work. But between you and me, I’ve never met a single obese person who didn’t get that way without consuming, at one point or another in their lives, a titanic and unreasonable amount of fatty food.

I can see how it would be really difficult to take off 200lbs and keep it off. So I’m sure that once you are obese, getting un-obese would be a serious and perhaps insurmountable challenge. (Like, you’d have to eat 1,000 calories per day for 10 years to pull it off, which I imagine is almost impossible.) But how do these people get that way in the first place? Surely preventable.

No one here has suggested that stick thin is the ideal so claiming that this is an unfair assertion of unattainable body image is a straw horse. A lot of people don’t get stick thin. Women in my family come in two varieties: curvy and built. I exercise 5 days a week and eat a reasonably balanced diet (plus dessert, because what’s the point of living otherwise) and the lowest adult weight I’ve ever had is 130lbs. Usually I’m more like 135, 140. I’m 5’5". Since there are models who do what I do and weigh 110 lbs at 5’11", I think it’s safe to say I’ll never be model weight. And that’s fine! Models look skeletal and unhealthy. There is no ideal weight, but there is a clear difference between healthy and unhealthy. Anyone who says diet and exercise don’t directly contribute to that healthiness is kidding themselves. Even if obese people stay obese on a regime of healthy eating and exercise, they’re still doing themselves a favor healthwise.

14 willem May 11, 2008 at 11:43 am

Dean… you really nail it here. "Dangerous reasoning. One that experience shows often leads to people getting fatter and more despondent than ever. What’s most dangerous about it is that there is much evidence that unrealistic expectations caused by such careless statements massively increase people’s tendency toward obesity, making them fatter and harming their health greatly. Not to mention what it does to their self-image." There is no stress like despair. These people are suffering terribly, and they fear it, and are no different than a trapped animal without hope awaiting death. I don’t think anyone escapes this hysteresis trap alone.Tough love is good, but its more about washing feet.

15 Dean Esmay May 11, 2008 at 11:56 am

Willow: Of course most fat people got that way by burning fewer calories than they consumed. As I’ve said many times, thermodynamics matter. It’s just that, in the modern advanced industrial world, those become less and less important and other factors become far more important.

Look, there is substantial reason to believe that once your body gets past a certain level of overweight, it literally can’t easily get down more than a certain amount. Why? My theory is that obesity is basically a one-way ticket; our bodies don’t really understand what morbid obesity is because we didn’t evolve to worry about that. So the number of people who ever got more than moderately overweight was always vanishingly rare until the mid to late 20th Century (and, prior to the 20th century, being fat was considered a status symbol). It should be unsurprising that some people, who have no genetic "defects" or whatever, just have meetabolisms that are better able to put on fat than take it off. Their systems fight harder against burning fat than healthy people, and their bodies will often preferentially burn muscle tissue, nerve tissue, and everything else before cracking into the fat stores. And the fatter they get, the more messed up their metabolisms are and hence the harder it is to reverse all this.

Fat cells are not little gasoline tanks that fill up when we eat and empty as we walk about in the world. They don’t work that way at all, and the body doesn’t work that way.

Let me try to use a car analogy: if a car will not start, does that mean it has no gasoline? Yes, possibly, but the list of other potential causes is much greater than one possibility.

I’ve also pointed out, repeatedly, that virtually ALL researchers agree that diet and exercise programs are good for HEALTH. It’s just increasingly the consensus medical view (among those who actually study and practice the related medical disciplines) is that change of habits to sensible diet and moderate regular exercise is beneficial to health, will help take some pounds off, and will usually prevent obesity from getting worse–and that’s about it.

What reduced caloric intake and exercise usually can’t do is provide any permanent elimination of chronic obesity; virtually all the research and clinical experience supports that, too. Moderate weight loss on the order of, say, 5 to 30 pounds, is about all caloric restriction and exercise have to reliably offer most chronically fat people. Well, except they also help prevent obesity’s onset, arrest it in its tracks, and help improve health in other areas. But most of those people, even the most diligent ones who get medical counseling, dietician assistance, regular exercise, and regular coaching sessions and peer support groups, will still be fat.

Yes, some of this is luck of the genetics draw; we all know people who eat whatever they want, whenever they want, and never grow more than marginally overweight. Lucky them; they’re in the minority and always have been.

It is a danger to a fat person’s health and well-being to tell them that if they "really wanted to" they could lose all the overweight. It’s not possible in most cases, and efforts to try are more likely to leave the fat person fatter in the long run. Once again, that’s not being insulting, it’s the factual experience of virtually all chronically obese people and those medical professionals who work with them.

16 B. Durbin May 11, 2008 at 12:12 pm

And let us not forget that many diets— I’m using "diet" in the common, goofy sense, where somebody decides to eat nothing but grapefruit or something— put much stress on the body as well. Some researchers have found that three crash diets can put the same stresses on the body that obesity does.

So I reiterate: Eat healthy*. Exercise moderately. If you have trouble with portion control, get up from the table when you’re not quite full and come back to it later— the feeling of fullness lags behind actual fullness.

Beyond that, don’t freak out. And if your doctor tells you that you still need to lose weight, explain very carefully what you’re doing and say that you’re trying to be healthy rather than generically thin.

*I think that the best version of "healthy" that I’ve seen is "least processed." In other words, homemade hamburgers win over TV dinners, and home baked cookies win over Snickers bars.

17 willow May 11, 2008 at 1:26 pm

Interesting, Dean. That makes a little more sense to me. (Btw speaking of cars, you were right: the battery was old and starting to fail.)

And B., in terms of anecdotal evidence I think you’re totally right re: processed vs. unprocessed food…while I was in Egypt I was amazed at what I could eat without putting on a substantial amount of weight, and I think a big part of the reason was that I was eating almost zero processed food. (Very little was available…that’s changed a lot over the past couple of years, and surprise surprise, the level of obesity in Egypt has spiked in direct proportion to the availability of highly processed food.)

18 Edgar May 11, 2008 at 1:34 pm

Dean: Nothing I did could get me below that number, nothing.

Nonsense. In fact, this is precisely the reason why people fail lose weight AND keep it off. They reach a plateau, and instead of thinking of a solution that will keep the weight loss going, they give up.

Giving up is definitely not the way to cure obesity.

Dean, at 245 your maintenance calories were very likely in the range of 3000-4000 a day. With a moderate 20% deficit you would lose about 1.5 lbs a week. That’s fairly easy.

So what happens when you get down to 225 and the weight loss grinds to a halt?

Best thing to do, and this is supported by the research, is to plan cheat meals and structured refeeds. Or even eat at maintenance for a couple of weeks. Or change the ratio of the deficit created by exercise and food (women do better with more exercise vs. reduced calories, for instance).

There are many, many ways to deal with the inevitable plateau. There are also many ways to handle hunger (adequate protein and fiber consumption, for one).

I really encourage anyone interested in an "academic" approach to weight loss to read anything by Lyle McDonald, especially "Flexible Dieting." He deals a lot with the psychological aspect to dieting, and how to maintain weight over the long term. Very intelligent guy.

Here’s his site: http://www.bodyrecomposition.com

19 Edgar May 11, 2008 at 8:08 pm

Oh, and since you’re talking so much about "evidence":

I’d love to see evidence that anyone who dieting down from a highly obese level (say 40% bf) to a healthier weight (let’s say 20%) cannibalized muscle even though they:

1) got adequate protein

and

2) did several days of strength training

20 Dean Esmay May 12, 2008 at 7:08 am

Honestly, Edgar, you haven’t the foggiest idea what my program was or how long I worked it, or how much I really know about this subject. I’ll give you a hint, though: I knew Lyle McDonald more than ten years ago when he was advocating things like using anabolic steroids "safely" and injecting yourself with insulin to help you gain muscle mass during workouts.

So, as it happens, I’m entirely familiar with the tired shibboleths about plateaus and how you supposedly break them. I also experienced abject failure to have any of the suggested plateau-breakers work. I used to be very active in news groups and mailing lists with fat people suffering the exact same problems. Know-it-alls were always there to assure us that if we just tried their logical solutions, we’d succeed. The vast majority of us, of course, failed, and felt miserable in the process and hated ourselves for that failure.

Also by the way, copious research has been done showing that people as fat as me or fatter gain weight on caloric intakes much lower than what you assume I was or am eating. The whole notion that you can just assume we eat X calories to maintain Y weight has about as much scientific validity as astrology.

If you want a good look at what the actual research on chronic obesity looks like, start with Chuck Forsberg’s excellent ADIPOSITY 101. While doing so, try to open your mind to the possibility that these solutions you believe in so fervently may not be quite so ironclad-guaranteed as you think.

By the way, Lyle never would answer my challenges that he release figures on how many of his clients went from obese to non-obese and stayed there for five years. Just like no one else in his industry will do. Ever wonder why that might be? Hint: It might have something to do with the fact that EVERY long term study done in the last century which looked at this question found that not even 1% of all patients on any program could do that. No matter who was running the program or what variation they used.

Facts are inconvenient things. Life’s tough that way.

21 Dean Esmay May 12, 2008 at 7:21 am

Oh, but I will admit that Lyle’s a mighty smart guy, so (as I even told him) if anyone can crack the obesity problem he’s more likely than average to do so. But consider me the guy from Missouri: show me and I’ll believe.

22 Wildmonk May 12, 2008 at 10:24 am

I’m not going in to the entire debate here but I’m largely aligned with Aziz.  I also run a company that provides health promotion software and programs to the US Gov’t and a wide swath of the Fortune 500.  We also support original research in this field as well.The most important point I can make is that *stopping or slowing weight gain* is often the best we can do and that it does represent a modest success.  You’re all assuming that, without a weight loss program, the overweight will stay the same.  They typically don’t – they gain more.  Thus, *maintaining* current weight is a bit of a victory even for the overweight or obese. Being twenty pounds overweight has health implications but being thirty pounds overweight has more and worse implications.The second point is that, in most weight loss programs, what passes for "exercise" barely qualifies as such in any realistic appraisal of the activity levels for which the body was designed.  In most of the studies that the fatalists rely on to prove that "diet and exercise don’t work", the exercise modality is "moderate to brisk walking."NOTE: Don’t go out and exercise hard without a physician’s permission.  Don’t be stupid and don’t blame me if you have an adverse result from exercise because I wrote that walking isn’t enough!ONCE YOU ARE READY, an appropriate exercise regimen for long term "fitness" will involve 500-1000 calories expended, most days of the week.  For a comparison, the typical "Curves" workout is less than 200 calories.  Now, the experts won’t tell you this.  The official party line is that walking is plenty.  Thirty minutes, most days of the week – they say – is fine.  That is because the population is chock full of people for whom this would represent a huge increase in their activity levels.  This is *all we can ask.*  But nearly all of the experts themselves work MUCH harder than this to gain the benefits of exercise.  That is, they exercise for high levels of fitness – not just for minimal health maintenance.What do I mean by "fitness"?  My mentor in this field is well into his 50s and still runs 20+ miles per week.  It is not unusual to see my male peers capable of 7 minute mile times, the ability to bench press more than their bodyweight (and often substantially more), and to have standing vertical leaps well over nine feet.  And, in case you think I’m in my twenties, I’m not: the peers I’m thinking of are mostly in their 40s and 50s.  And, of course, none are overweight.  DO NOT TRY THIS on the assumption that you’ll see if you are fit.  If you haven’t built the foundations, you’ll just hurt yourself.  I’m NOT recommending that you work toward this without professional guidance. I’m just sayin’…The point is, we’ve defined "health" down so drastically that we look to folks with decades of bad eating and little activity, get them to avoid the worst eating excesses and to adopt the most modest increases in activity and we then criticize the whole field because the results are not very substantial and don’t last over the years.Start with a healthy lifestyle in your 20s – filled with vigorous activity – and you are very unlikely to have to worry about Chuck Forsberg’s "Adiposity 101."

23 Dean Esmay May 12, 2008 at 11:04 am

So, you’re "aligned with Aziz" but you’re pretty much admitting that every damned thing I said is true?

24 Edgar May 12, 2008 at 12:10 pm

Ok, Dean. Here is something to chew on. There is plenty of data in the national weight control registry that shows obese people can indeed keep the weight off.

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/utils/fref.fcgi?PrId=3051&itool=AbstractPlus-def&uid=16002825&db=pubmed&url=http://www.ajcn.org/cgi/pmidlookup?view=long&pmid=16002825

"National Weight Control Registry members have lost an average of 33 kg and maintained the loss for more than 5 y. To maintain their weight loss, members report engaging in high levels of physical activity ( approximately 1 h/d), eating a low-calorie, low-fat diet, eating breakfast regularly, self-monitoring weight, and maintaining a consistent eating pattern across weekdays and weekends. Moreover, weight loss maintenance may get easier over time; after individuals have successfully maintained their weight loss for 2-5 y, the chance of longer-term success greatly increases

 

25 Edgar May 12, 2008 at 12:13 pm

Consensus? Wrong again, Dean

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/utils/fref.fcgi?PrId=3051&itool=AbstractPlus-def&uid=16002825&db=pubmed&url=http://

excerpt

"National Weight Control Registry members have lost an average of 33 kg and maintained the loss for more than 5 y. To maintain their weight loss, members report engaging in high levels of physical activity ( approximately 1 h/d), eating a low-calorie, low-fat diet, eating breakfast regularly, self-monitoring weight, and maintaining a consistent eating pattern across weekdays and weekends. Moreover, weight loss maintenance may get easier over time; after individuals have successfully maintained their weight loss for 2-5 y, the chance of longer-term success greatly increases."

26 Wildmonk May 12, 2008 at 1:41 pm

Hey Dean, Sorry for the formatting – your online editor doesn’t seem to like Safari… RE: admitting that everything you’ve said is true: I think it is valid to say that the majority of people who start a weight management program will not achieve significant, permanent (5+ years) weight loss. In that sense, I agree with you: the literature isn’t particularly encouraging to people wanting to lose significant weight. My first point was that it still makes sense to try even if the overall result is just to prevent further weight gain since this may still promote health. But I disagree with you over whether permanent weight loss is possible.  I think it is. However, it may well be that industrialized diets and the expectations about what constitutes "adequate" exercise make it far harder than it should be. This leads to a lot of failure despite the very real possibility of success. That was my second point above.  One other point that I’ll raise that I think you may find interesting. You’ve said repeatedly that weight isn’t a function of calories consumed and exercise despite the overwhelming consensus of the scientific community that it is. Well, consider something that I’ve discussed among the scientists doing this work (many of them use our software). The hypothesis that I’ve put to them is that food may act as a "signaling mechanism" or "information store" as well as a calorie store; food has value in communicating the state of the environment.  The takeaway is that our industrial diet – heavy on simple sugars and other "autumn" foods – may be making us fat and *not just* because of the overabundance of calories but due to unexpected effects on our endocrine system. Now, honestly, the folks with whom I’ve discussed this think it is interesting, may have some truth, and would be damn hard to test. No one has come right out and agreed with me so I don’t want you to take away from this anything about what "experts say." I am not really in that area of research so I have no real standing to pursue research; it is just "beer talk." Nonetheless, I would not be at all surprised to see it become accepted wisdom in the coming years simply because I see hints and blips of this throughout the literature. If these coalesce into a pattern that leads to a hypothesis that leads to a set of supporting findings that leads to a consensus, then you’ll end up getting some support for your thesis that calories and exercise are not the only mediators of weight.

27 Edgar May 12, 2008 at 2:53 pm

Anyways, Dean. The bottom line is that you’re right about the data, but wrong about what they conclude.

The notion that because people don’t stick to diets and exercise routines, they aren’t useful is absurd. They are the safest way to achieve weight loss, even for obese people, and the most proven.

If you are seriously arguing that people absolutely cannot maintain weight at a certain point, let me see proof. No, people quitting their diets is not proof, not matter how many there are.

If you can find examples of people weighing 350 lbs gaining back weight even though they are eating 1500 calories a day, please show me.

The fact remains that if you go back to your old ways, you become fat again. There’s no magic involved.

28 teqjack May 12, 2008 at 3:46 pm

"… to be a permanent lifestyle change, it must be something they can actually live with." 
 
A while back my doctor said "I should recommend that you get more exercise [to build muscle], but I know you can’t." 
 
—–
Another anecdote 
 
Because of problems with depression, I lost over forty pounds (270 – 224) in three months. Hospitalised in an open ward, given the same food as other patients, doing as much exercise (I was in somewhat better shape at the time) – I gained back 15 pounds in four weeks. 
 
OTOH, I have not gained more than that in over seven years since.

29 P Mike May 12, 2008 at 4:46 pm

Dean,

A quote:  "Obesity occurs over time when you eat more calories than you use.

"http://www.nlm.nih.gov/medlineplus/obesity.html

Maybe I should have quoted it instead of paraphrsing the statment as "obesity is caused by eating more calories than your body uses over a long period of time."

After perusing the links you so graciously provided (didn’t follow everything to its end), I do not find anything that says in plain English (i.e., see above) that if you are obese diet and exercise will not work.

30 P Mike May 12, 2008 at 4:50 pm

Dean,

a quote:  "Obesity occurs over time when you eat more calories than you use. "  It’s from:

http://www.nlm.nih.gov/medlineplus/obesity.html

Maybe I should have quoted instead of paraphrasing as "obesity is caused by eating more calories than your body uses over a long period of time."

I’ve persued the links you so graciously provided, do not see a statement in plain English that says if you are obsese don’t try diet and exercise because they don’t work.

31 P Mike May 12, 2008 at 4:57 pm

Dean,

a quote:

"Obesity occurs over time when you eat more calories than you use. "  It’s from:

http://www.nlm.nih.gov/medlineplus/obesity.html

Maybe I should have quoted it directly instead of paraphrasing as "obesity is caused by eating more calories than your body uses over a long period of time," but I seem to be having problems wherein the comment block works fine until I hit submit, then the comment goes into a black hole.  I actually put links in from the three orgs and it got lost the first time, so I did the paraphrase.  This is the 3rd time I’m trying to comment this afternoon.

I perused the links you so graciously provided, and do not see a flat plain English statement that if you are obese, diet and exercise will not work.

32 P Mike May 12, 2008 at 4:58 pm

Dean,

a quote:

"Obesity occurs over time when you eat more calories than you use. "  It’s from:

http://www.nlm.nih.gov/medlineplus/obesity.html

Maybe I should have quoted it directly instead of paraphrasing as "obesity is caused by eating more calories than your body uses over a long period of time," but I seem to be having problems wherein the comment block works fine until I hit submit, then the comment goes into a black hole.  I actually put links in from the three orgs and it got lost the first time, so I did the paraphrase.  This is the 3rd 4th time I’m trying to comment this afternoon.

I perused the links you so graciously provided, and do not see a flat plain English statement that if you are obese, diet and exercise will not work.

33 Dean Esmay May 13, 2008 at 7:27 am

Edgar: The National Weight Control Registry automatically excludes everybody who has failed. It is, ipso facto, a registry of the rare 1% or so who do not fall into the normal pattern. It would also almost certainly include the large swath of people who were never chronically overweight to begin with, but rather gained weight temporarily due to stress or other unusual life patterns and whose overweight quickly went away once they resumed their normal patterns, which as I’ve already mentioned is a real phenomenon. All of this is addressed in the Adiposity 101 article, if you’d bother reading it.

The article also documents in multiple places the very real phenomenon of fat people getting fatter on caloric intake that the thermodynamic-worshippers say they should be losing weight on. If you’d actually bother reading it, and addressing my real arguments instead of arguments I haven’t made, we might get somewhere.

Also, Edgar, I have repeatedly stated–to the point of absurdity now–that diet and exercise are effective for weight maintenance. Unless you can acknowledge that, I’m done with trying to reason with you, because obviously you’re arguing with the Dean in your head rather than the actual Dean.

34 Dean Esmay May 13, 2008 at 7:27 am

Wildmonk: It gets rather tiresome in these discussions to have people repeatedly attack me for things I didn’t say and don’t believe, especially when I have repeatedly and emphatically stated the opposite. To whit, you state:

You’ve said repeatedly that weight isn’t a function of calories consumed and exercise despite the overwhelming consensus of the scientific community that it is.

God damn it. I have only stated about four hundred fucking times in this discussion that weight is influenced by calories consumed and exercise. I am having difficulty restraining myself from cursing more and/or just exiting this discussion in disgust in response.

It appears to me that some people would rather argue with a fictional Dean that appears nowhere but in their heads rather than the actual Dean who is actually presenting his arguments.

Weight is partially a function of thermodynamics. It is simply not solely a function of that, and in the modern industrialized world, thermodynamics are not the primary issue in obesity. Thermodynamics matter, but other factors matter a great deal more, and foolish application of thermodynamics to obesity often results in aggravation of obesity. If you’re going to “argue” with me, argue with that, not some fictional line of arguments I never made and don’t believe.

35 P Mike May 13, 2008 at 7:55 am

Dean,

a quote:

"Obesity occurs over time when you eat more calories than you use. "  It’s from:

http://www.nlm.nih.gov/medlineplus/obesity.html

Maybe I should have quoted it directly instead of paraphrasing as "obesity is caused by eating more calories than your body uses over a long period of time," but I seem to be having problems wherein the comment block works fine until I hit submit, then the comment goes into a black hole.  I actually put links in from the three orgs and it got lost the first time, so I did the paraphrase.  This is the 3rd time I’m trying to comment this afternoon.

I perused the links you so graciously provided, and do not see a flat plain English statement that if you are obese, diet and exercise will not work.

36 P Mike May 13, 2008 at 8:10 am

Dean, I am confused by your attitude.  The post that started this was a study showing a weight loss followed by gains, and your claim that —

“Eating less and exercising more” is shown, just like hundreds of studies before it, to be an utterly ineffective way to reverse obesity in any long-term or consistent manner.

Now you are unhappy and abusive with people responding to that.

I quote: "Obesity occurs over time when you eat more calories than you use. "  This is from http://www.nlm.nih.gov/medlineplus/obesity.html.  The only way to control obesity is to control calorie intake and expenditure, however that can be done.

37 P Mike May 13, 2008 at 8:25 am

Dean,

what started this was a statement

“Eating less and exercising more” is shown, just like hundreds of studies before it, to be an utterly ineffective way to reverse obesity in any long-term or consistent manner.

People (myself included) are responding to this statement, not a construction. 

The NIH rather simplistically IYHO noted:"Obesity occurs over time when you eat more calories than you consume,"  from nlm.nih.gov/medlineplus/obesity.html.  This garnered from you to me abuse and a list of links that do not support your thesis.

If you are saying that no one really has the willpower to actually "eat less and exercise more," fine.  That’s easy to prove or disprove, and does not change the fact that an obese person who eats less and exercises more will lose weight.

38 Dean Esmay May 13, 2008 at 11:56 am

P Mike: Yes, well, there is nothing wrong with the statement that eating less and exercising more has been shown by hundreds of studies and in countless clinical settings to be an utterly ineffective way to reverse obesity in any long-term or consistent manner. Eating less and exercising more do not cure obesity in most obese patients, including those obese subjects who diligently follow caloric reduction, diligently exercise, regularly get counsel and advice from physicians, physical trainers, and dieticians, and receive peer support. They lose some weight, but remain fat, and no one has ever clinically shown that they can do much better than moderate weight loss, reasonable weight maintenance, and improved health.

Is it the words “reversing obesity” that are causing confusion? The fact is that most chronically obese people will still be obese after diligent long-term application of these programs. So I suppose you could say their obesity “reversed” in the sense that they weigh somewhat less and are healthier. But they’ll still be fat. That’s the overwhelming scientific consensus. And no one’s really put forth anything to refute that, because they can’t. The evidence backs up exactly what I’ve said.

39 Dean Esmay May 13, 2008 at 12:18 pm

Oh, and language about "conspiracies" is just inflammatory and silly. If there’s any "conspiracy" I suppose it’s those who are hawking diet books and gym memberships and whatnot who don’t really have much motivation to admit that obese people becoming nonobese and staying that way is something not even 1% of those who diligently apply themselves will achieve. No one wants to hear that all they can reasonably expect is moderate weight loss, weight maintenance, and improved health. But that is the exact truth.

And yes, by the way, the Adiposity 101 article also documents studies wherein fat people simply did not lose fat from diet and exercise, and merely lost muscle tissue and suffered metabolic slowdown and other starvation symptoms instead. People like Lyle claim they’ve got systems that will get around that, but they can’t actually prove it in clinical study or show that their programs actually do work on these subjects long-term.

If you can’t get over the obsession with the laws of physics and start acknowledging that morbid obesity may just be an abnormal, pathological physical state which we have not evolved to deal with and wherein the body might simply refuse to burn fat stores like it needs to (think of it like clogged fuel lines if you will), then there’s nothing I can do to get your head out of this notion that all fat people have to do is eat less and exercise more and they’ll become slender. The obsession with saying that this will cure them if they just apply themselves is the real magical thinking. And it’s often dangerous, leading them to unrealistic expectations that spiral into even worse weight and health problems.

40 P Mike May 13, 2008 at 2:25 pm

Note, I didn’t make the statement, the National Institute of Health did.  The problem with global bombastic zeolistic pronoucements is that somewhere, someone will prove it wrong.  All it takes is a limited number of success stories to disprove the characterization as "utterly ineffective way to reverse obesity in any long-term or consistent manner."  I suspect those are your words, and that in most studies someone proved it wrong.  I can’t imagine any study where everybody failed, or a credible study that ends in a similar statement. 

And what is wrong with "moderate weight loss, weight maintenance, and improved health"?  Some people are not skinny and never will be, but that doesn’t mean they have to be morbidly obese.   An obsession with believing there is nothing you can do to control your weight, that you are doomed to be obese, is a self fulfilling prophecy.  A belief that you are going to generate the physique of a male model from an obese condition is unrealistic.

My personal suspision is that one MAY have the genetics and physiology for obesity, similar to a predisposition to addictions like alcoholism, and it is likely to involve physiological (and/or psychological) pathologies.  I am sure there are those that got to be obese for other reasons, i.e., they don’t have the "excuse" of physiology.   Unlike alcohol, you can’t avoid food, so if you have the problem you have to manage caloric intake and usage.  Not all aspects of physiological function are genetic, predisposition, and inevitable, and just getting and being obese may cause changes in the way your body works that are difficult (if not impossible) to reverse.   Even if you are locked into some kind of system of unhealthy pathology, that does not relieve/excuse an obese person from trying to manage better health.  It’s a life or death, not mention quality of life, issue.  There may at some time in the future be some way to reprogram how the body functions in such a way as to control weight, but the complex interactions of basic physiology do not favor a simple solution.

Once an addict, always an addict.  Weight watchers thinks of being overweight similarly, and maybe some kind of 12-step program makes sense.

41 Edgar May 13, 2008 at 5:07 pm

Dean,

The article "Adiposity 101" was laughably disingenuous. The author tries to prove that exercise causes weight gain–rather than weight loss–in the obese. But he cites studies that offer no quantitative data on energy expenditure, the only true way to know what was going on.

And then he tries to show how eating less doesn’t help at all. Again, he cites studies without any quantitative data (calories consumed vs. burned) and even if he did, the odds that these would be sham "self-report" studies would no doubt be great.

He even makes ridiculously vague assertions like:

"It is incorrect to assume that people eat more now than in historical times. The average calorie intake in the 13th century was up to 5000 calories a day"

Who? Where? And where did you find this supposed historical fact?

No wonder you are so upset when people bring up thermodynamics, because ultimately, it’s the bullshit detector in so-called studies "proving" that obesity can’t be reversed with diet, exercise, and sticking to it.

42 Edgar May 13, 2008 at 5:16 pm

Dean,

Adiposity 101 makes some laughably stupid assertions.

It cites studies without essential quantitative data, and presents hypotheses as established fact.

The reason calories burned/vs consumed is so important it because it is the ultimate bullshit detector.

Once again, if you can prove that people gained weight on a hypocaloric diet even though they stuck to it, let’s see it.

If one percent of people stick to diet, it proves nothing except how undiscplined they were to begin with. You’ve claimed this isn’t true. But if someone has proved (in a controlled study) that the vast majority of obese people eat the same or less as lean people, let’s see it too.

43 Dean Esmay May 14, 2008 at 8:01 am

You two are certainly showing that you’re not about to let facts get in your way. [shrug] You can stick to your faith-based understanding that obese people can become non-obese and stay that way long-term simply through diet and exercise if you want, but all the evidence available shows that this fails more than 99% of the time. You dance around those facts all day long and refuse to address them directly with anything other than arm-waving and bloviating, and then blame me for being stubborn? Heh. Whatever.

Anyone who studies the literature has already found the studies which show that many fat people gain weight and/or fail to lose it on caloric intake that supposedly "should" cause them to lose weight. Obviously, some people don’t bother doing their homework or actually looking at data before drawing their sweeping conclusions.

I learned long ago not to argue with people who won’t let facts get in their way. I’ll only note that there’s nothing wrong with weight maintenance or better health; what’s wrong is to tell people that they can eliminate obesity through diet and exercise. That would be what we call a lie, because most of them cannot, and the overwhelming bulk of scientific data shows that to be true.

It’s folks like you who make fat people fatter, FWIW.

44 P Mike May 14, 2008 at 8:25 am

Ok, it’s hopeless and until there is a magic bullet like genetc based therapy you are doomed, although long term, natural selection will take care of the problem and maybe we don’t need to look for such a solution.

Please don’t continue trying to take eveyone else in a similar suituation down with you.

45 Dean Esmay May 14, 2008 at 8:33 am

What the obese can hope for is moderate weight loss and better health. They can also hope to end the obscene flagellation that comes from the ridiculous belief that they can take all the overweight off "if they really want to" and that they only lack discipline and willpower.

New therapies for the chronically obese are coming online all the time, and many show great promise. They’d get more respect and work even better if more people would acknowledge that lack of discipline and willpower are not the primary issues.

46 Edgar May 14, 2008 at 1:48 pm

As I thought, not one single scientific study presented.

47 Wildmonk May 14, 2008 at 4:25 pm

Dean,I’m trying to understand what you are getting at here but it seems that I’ve pissed you off when I thought I was just restating you.  I said – putting words in your mouth, apparently – that you believed that weight isn’t a function of calories consumed and burned.  You were quite adamant that this is *not* what you mean.  But then you say:"Weight is partially a function of thermodynamics. It is simply not solely a function of that, and in the modern industrialized world, thermodynamics are not the primary issue in obesity. Thermodynamics matter, but other factors matter a great deal more, and foolish application of thermodynamics to obesity often results in aggravation of obesity. If you’re going to “argue” with me, argue with that, not some fictional line of arguments I never made and don’t believe."So, it seems fair to say that you don’t believe that calories in and out is the primary determinant of weight but rather that, in the modern world, something else is.  If I’m right about your position, please tell me: what do you suspect makes people gain weight?   A similar but not identical question: what allows people to sustain their weight despite heavy caloric restrictions?  I’m not looking for precision…just some ball-park ideas.

48 Wildmonk May 14, 2008 at 4:26 pm

Again, sorry for the formatting – even submitting HTML seems to do no good…

49 Dean Esmay May 15, 2008 at 10:44 am

Edgar: Oh please, the article I linked for you has plenty of scientific references. You just, apparently, haven’t taken the time to study the document more than superficially.

50 Dean Esmay May 15, 2008 at 11:01 am

Wildmonk: OK, well I’m frustrated because I feel like I keep saying the exact same things only to have what I actually say not directly addressed.

Weight is not, all by itself, determined by caloric intake and expenditure. It just isn’t, for a wide variety of reasons. Yes, it is an unavoidable fact of physics that if you jigger the energy in/energy out ratio, weight will fluctuate. What I refute is the notion that in modern living conditions, this is the primary issue in chronic obesity. It is one of several important factors, and is no longer the primary factor on a practical level.

As I have said, repeatedly, diet and exercise can be said definitively to improve health, to retard or moderate obesity, and to help just about anyone take off anywhere from 5 to maybe 30 pounds of excess fat long term. All of that is supported in the literature and has never been in contention. I’ve said all of that so many times it’s making my teeth hurt just to have to say it again.

What no study has ever–and I do mean ever–shown is that you can take an average obese person and make them non-obese and keep them that way long term strictly through diet and exercise. The people who are exceptions are so rare they qualify as outliers that aren’t even statistically significant. That’s also, by the way, why studies which look at this less-than-1% group of people who become non-obese and stay that way is only marginally useful; it’s like looking at cancer patients who go into spontaneous remission, which may be useful in some regards but probably does not point to the long-term cure for cancer for most people.

The failure rate of over 99% that I refer to includes numerous studies where they did all the things the experts say you need–change of lifestyle, caloric reduction, regular exercising including aerobic and resistance training, regular coaching, regular medical assistance, and peer support groups. Numerous studies which provided ALL of these things have shown that, still, the overwhelming majority of obese people who stuck with the program and did not quit still were obese after years on the program. Despite doing everything they’re told to do, all they achieve is moderate weight loss and better health–which is good, and desirable, and a worthy goal in and of itself, but is still heartbreaking because these people will still be fat and all the evidence we have says that this is the norm.

There are numerous popular theories about why people’s weight loss plateaus and how to break those plateaus, some of which work for some people to some extent. The long-term results, however, rarely result in the obese subject becoming non-obese and staying that way. This is why professional trainers can talk a good game about adding muscle mass, varying your caloric intake, etc. to break the plateau, and can show some marginal success with that, but at the end of the day a majority of subjects will still be substantially overfat.

Furthermore, if you aren’t honest with fat people about what they can realistically expect, they’re more likely to give up in despair and hate themselves for their supposed lack of willpower and discipline.

It appears to me, and quite a few other observers, that the human body can manage its fat stores within a window of 5-30 pounds or so, but that once someone goes past a certain amount of overweight, and stays there too long, the body enters a metabolic state that we aren’t well-equipped to deal with. And all the supposed "plateau breakers" only work somewhat for some people. The proof of that is in the putting: why won’t those in the weight loss industry who claim they can break these plateaus and fix most obese people and get them down to non-obese status long-term release figures on their success rate? I put it to you that they don’t because their experience is the same as every study: somewhat less than 1% achieve that goal long-term.

That’s not even addressing the fact that among that 1% who do go from substantially obese to non-obese are people who we know will spontaneously take the weight off because they never had a long-term weight problem in the first place; they had a major lifestyle change due to stress or other factors, and when they go back to their normal patterns the weight often comes off with only a little discipline and effort. Indeed, there’s some reason to believe that among that 1% or so who spontaneously lose the overweight, they actually do better *not* embarking on a new diet and exercise regimen, because that’s worse for them than just going back to the activity patterns they had when they were at a healthier weight.

None of this is contradicted by any of the literature that I’m aware of. The references are there; this is all the basic consensus in the field. My major objection is holding out false hope and giving bad advice to the chronically obese. If there are 10 factors in what causes chronic obesity, calories eaten/calories out has to be near the bottom of the list of major issues. As I’ve said so many times, fat cells are not little gas tanks that merely fill up when we eat and empty as we move about in the world. It’s just not like that.

51 Dean Esmay May 15, 2008 at 11:30 am

OK, I see I didn’t answer questions directly. So here:

So, it seems fair to say that you don’t believe that calories in and out is the primary determinant of weight but rather that, in the modern world, something else is.

Correct. And we don’t know with precision what that "something else" is. Nobody does, although there are several theories and I suspect there are multiple ways which this might happen. It’s like looking at a car engine that is not burning gasoline efficiently. What causes that? Is it clogged fuel lines? Maybe. Is it gunk in the gas tank? Maybe. Is it a bad fuel pump? Maybe. Is it clogged intakes? Maybe. Is all of that good but the spark plugs are fouled so the gas doesn’t burn right? Maybe.

If I’m right about your position, please tell me: what do you suspect makes people gain weight?

At the most superficial level, they gain weight because they’re consuming–and storing–more energy than they’re expending. But this all by itself is not an entirely voluntary thing, because autonomous systems we have limited conscious control of (like, say, our heartbeat or our need to urinate) exert a major influence.

Eating and physical activity patterns exert an influence. But they aren’t the primary influence, especially once pathological obesity sets in. Essentially, what appears to happen is that the body’s fat storage mechanisms kick into high gear, while the body’s fat burning mechanisms become retarded. This is why we see, in study after study, very fat people losing muscle mass and experiencing all the other major symptoms of crisis-mode starvation even while swimming in a sea of their own fat. The fat cells aren’t letting go of their stores like they should, like an automobile engine with its fuel intakes badly clogged and corroded. You can pump the gas pedal repeatedly and keep it down to the floor, but the gas still isn’t going to get to the engine like it should, or be burned properly when it gets there. You can keep filling the tank with more and more and more gas, but since it can’t get into the engine properly to get burned in the first place, you’re just going to get a heavier and heavier gas tank.

There are multiple ways to try to get more gas into the engine. So far, nobody’s come up with anything that can reliably do this for the chronically obese. We can improve the fuel expenditure rate somewhat, but that’s about it.

A similar but not identical question: what allows people to sustain their weight despite heavy caloric restrictions? I’m not looking for precision…just some ball-park ideas.

Essentially, it appears to me that our bodies have mechanisms that make it easy to take off maybe 5 to 30 pounds of excess fat, but we did not evolve/were not designed with systems that can deal with responding properly to amounts of body fat beyond that, because having enough caloric intake to become more than that amount overweight was vanishingly rare in our species until modern times. It looks like, for some people, their bodies just don’t know how to get rid of more than 30 or so pounds. It becomes like a pitcher plant or a venus flytrap; you tip over into pathological obesity, and it was easy to get into but now you can’t get out. The body thinks it’s very near the weight it’s supposed to be, and won’t let you drop much below that–and this set point can be reset upwards much more easily than it can be set downwards.

There’s more of course; there’s evidence of viral influence in many people, there’s evidence that modern processed foods make the body’s energy regulation mechanisms act in bizarre ways in some people, there’s even evidence that maternal factors in utero and diet and activity patterns in infancy and childhood exert an influence on all of that. Everything about the modern lifestyle is radically different from what it was for most people even 100 years ago, and it should be unsurprising if our bodies act in multiple unpredictable ways, chronic obesity being one of those many modern diseases.

The problem with focusing with monomaniacal obsession on thermodynamics is that it’s like trying to fix a broken car that won’t drive properly by insisting that if you pump the gas pedal hard enough and long enough, the car will start performing like it’s supposed to.

What this conversation often looks to me is this: “Dean, you’re being ridiculous! Everyone knows that if you just push down on that damned gas pedal hard enough, the car will drive, dammit! What’s wrong with you, don’t you understand basic physics?!?!?”

52 P Mike May 15, 2008 at 12:43 pm

Dean, I don’t have any problem (in fact, agree) with your rational statements.  Agree with (in fact, I suggested) "What the obese can hope for is moderate weight loss and better health."

I have a problem with ridiculous grandiose statements that all scientific studies show diet and exercise are useless in controlling weight.

In reviewing all this I wonder if you draw a distinction between overweight (or fat), obese and morbidly obese?

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