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	<title>Comments on: study: obese people lose more than 50 lbs for more than 5 years</title>
	<atom:link href="http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/</link>
	<description>Defending the liberal tradition in history, science, and philosophy.</description>
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		<title>By: willow</title>
		<link>http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156841</link>
		<dc:creator>willow</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 May 2008 23:03:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156841</guid>
		<description>Not to bring pop culture into this, but has anyone watched The Biggest Loser? It used to be on during Ramadan in Egypt (har har har), and I was constantly amazed by how much weight the VERY morbidly obese contestants were able to lose through diet and exercise alone. What interests me about this is that these contestants are selected for the emotional sellability of their stories (I was always the fat kid in school...I used to be a prize fighter but now I&#039;m 300lbs...my father died of a heart attack at 45...) not according to some scientific guideline. So one can assume the show has a more or less random sampling of obese people. (Different ages, ethnic backgrounds, some from fat families, some from thin families, etc.) And the results were jaw-dropping. One woman went from a size 18 to a size 6. Another dude lost a full 38% of his total body weight. 

Now, I will grant you that this is not a 5+ year study, but what interested me was that the majority of contestants kept losing weight after they were off the show. Which would suggest that a good exercise/eating regime that one can stick to (as opposed to a crash diet that is impossible/unhealthy to sustain longterm) does make a significant difference for a lot of people, not just in terms of health, but in terms of raw body weight.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Not to bring pop culture into this, but has anyone watched The Biggest Loser? It used to be on during Ramadan in Egypt (har har har), and I was constantly amazed by how much weight the VERY morbidly obese contestants were able to lose through diet and exercise alone. What interests me about this is that these contestants are selected for the emotional sellability of their stories (I was always the fat kid in school&#8230;I used to be a prize fighter but now I&#8217;m 300lbs&#8230;my father died of a heart attack at 45&#8230;) not according to some scientific guideline. So one can assume the show has a more or less random sampling of obese people. (Different ages, ethnic backgrounds, some from fat families, some from thin families, etc.) And the results were jaw-dropping. One woman went from a size 18 to a size 6. Another dude lost a full 38% of his total body weight. </p>
<p>Now, I will grant you that this is not a 5+ year study, but what interested me was that the majority of contestants kept losing weight after they were off the show. Which would suggest that a good exercise/eating regime that one can stick to (as opposed to a crash diet that is impossible/unhealthy to sustain longterm) does make a significant difference for a lot of people, not just in terms of health, but in terms of raw body weight.</p>
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		<title>By: Edgar</title>
		<link>http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156839</link>
		<dc:creator>Edgar</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 May 2008 21:46:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156839</guid>
		<description>(crickets)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>(crickets)</p>
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		<title>By: Edgar</title>
		<link>http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156838</link>
		<dc:creator>Edgar</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 May 2008 21:28:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156838</guid>
		<description>I think we need to be more clear about this.

Please show us a peer-reviewed study that proves YOUR contentions, namely:

1) the vast majority of obese people who started it couldn&#039;t maintain the weight loss even though they stuck to the program (something with figures- caloric intake, LBM, BF %, etc.)

2) It was not a matter of willpower (i.e. it was some physiological change, like a massive metabolic slowdown, that caused them to regain the weight). Please provide figures (e.g. BMR before and after and the change).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think we need to be more clear about this.</p>
<p>Please show us a peer-reviewed study that proves YOUR contentions, namely:</p>
<p>1) the vast majority of obese people who started it couldn&#8217;t maintain the weight loss even though they stuck to the program (something with figures- caloric intake, LBM, BF %, etc.)</p>
<p>2) It was not a matter of willpower (i.e. it was some physiological change, like a massive metabolic slowdown, that caused them to regain the weight). Please provide figures (e.g. BMR before and after and the change).</p>
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		<title>By: Aziz Poonawalla</title>
		<link>http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156837</link>
		<dc:creator>Aziz Poonawalla</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 May 2008 21:20:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156837</guid>
		<description>yes, John Dakota first mentioned the article. I suppose &quot;they&quot; didn&#039;t teach me academic integrity, no. Guilty as charged.

I didnt start a new thread, that was ctl, and I have no intention of wading into that one because I&#039;d rather be paid for my TA work than do it pro bono.

Elizabeth, I well understand that the people in this study met selection criteria, but these criteria are not even close to the extreme. Dean is the one who set teh standard of 50 lbs and 5 years, the criteria for this study fall well below that. 

I havent seen anyone actually quote a study that supports Dean&#039;s or Elizabeth&#039;s assertions.

Scott, I&#039;m with you. Part of the reason I find this study so compelling is precisely because they are very restrained in their assertions. They do, however, have results that ARE applicable to the argument, particularly the assertion by Dean that I quoted, and I do not see why the substantial data in this study should be breezily dismissed. The authors are not invalidating their study nor agreeing it is an extreme unrepresentative case, by their comments in the discussion above. A theory about Obesity needs to fit ALL the facts, and the facts clearly show that it is well within the human capability to lose more than 50 lbs and keep it off for 5 years plus, using only diet and excercize techniques. That was the original argument of impossibility made by Dean, and Elizabeth, and I think we have moved on from that ground since then. 

&lt;em&gt;Aziz Poonawalla&#039;s last blog post..&lt;a href=&#039;http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/city-of-brass/~3/293956026/quran-shooter.html&#039; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;the Qur&#039;an shooter&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/em&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>yes, John Dakota first mentioned the article. I suppose &quot;they&quot; didn&#8217;t teach me academic integrity, no. Guilty as charged.</p>
<p>I didnt start a new thread, that was ctl, and I have no intention of wading into that one because I&#8217;d rather be paid for my TA work than do it pro bono.</p>
<p>Elizabeth, I well understand that the people in this study met selection criteria, but these criteria are not even close to the extreme. Dean is the one who set teh standard of 50 lbs and 5 years, the criteria for this study fall well below that. </p>
<p>I havent seen anyone actually quote a study that supports Dean&#8217;s or Elizabeth&#8217;s assertions.</p>
<p>Scott, I&#8217;m with you. Part of the reason I find this study so compelling is precisely because they are very restrained in their assertions. They do, however, have results that ARE applicable to the argument, particularly the assertion by Dean that I quoted, and I do not see why the substantial data in this study should be breezily dismissed. The authors are not invalidating their study nor agreeing it is an extreme unrepresentative case, by their comments in the discussion above. A theory about Obesity needs to fit ALL the facts, and the facts clearly show that it is well within the human capability to lose more than 50 lbs and keep it off for 5 years plus, using only diet and excercize techniques. That was the original argument of impossibility made by Dean, and Elizabeth, and I think we have moved on from that ground since then. </p>
<p><em>Aziz Poonawalla&#8217;s last blog post..<a href='http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/city-of-brass/~3/293956026/quran-shooter.html' rel="nofollow">the Qur&#8217;an shooter</a></em></p>
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		<title>By: JohnDakota</title>
		<link>http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156836</link>
		<dc:creator>JohnDakota</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 May 2008 20:33:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156836</guid>
		<description>3-5 years after the program ended.Â  Ever consider the possibility that the people just simply didnt have the willpower to maintain their changed lifestyles without the push of the program on them?Â  That&#039;s not a failure of the program, that&#039;s a failure of the person.Â  That&#039;s totally different from claiming the majority of obese people are incapable of losing weight and keeping it off.Â  It means the vast majority lack the willpower and the dedication needed to maintain the changed lifestyle.Â  They are still physically capable of losing the weight and keeping it off.  The ones that fail are not mentally strong enough to keep to the dedicated healthy lifestyle.  </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>3-5 years after the program ended.Â  Ever consider the possibility that the people just simply didnt have the willpower to maintain their changed lifestyles without the push of the program on them?Â  That&#8217;s not a failure of the program, that&#8217;s a failure of the person.Â  That&#8217;s totally different from claiming the majority of obese people are incapable of losing weight and keeping it off.Â  It means the vast majority lack the willpower and the dedication needed to maintain the changed lifestyle.Â  They are still physically capable of losing the weight and keeping it off.  The ones that fail are not mentally strong enough to keep to the dedicated healthy lifestyle.</p>
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		<title>By: Scott Kirwin</title>
		<link>http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156834</link>
		<dc:creator>Scott Kirwin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 May 2008 20:24:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156834</guid>
		<description>John 
Quit whining. Aziz isn&#039;t calling the article his. He&#039;s given credit to the authors. Just because you cited it first in the other thread doesn&#039;t make it yours either.

&lt;blockquote&gt;I have yet to see a SINGLE CITED REFERENCE FROM THE NAYSAYERS SUPPORTING THAT THE VAST MAJORITY OF OBESE PEOPLE CANT LOSE WEIGHT.  THIS IS THE CRUX OF YOUR ARGUMENT.  THE LEAST YOU CAN DO IS BACK IT UP.  
&lt;/blockquote&gt;Since you asked, check out the article you&#039;re whining about.  From &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.ajcn.org/cgi/reprint/66/2/239&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;the introduction&lt;/a&gt;:

&lt;blockquote&gt;Unfortunately, long-term follow-up indicates that most patients return to their baseline weights within 3-5 y after the end of treatment.

&lt;/blockquote&gt;Most patients return to their baseline within 3-5y. Hmm... I wonder why... Well so do the authors of the article. In fact they conclude thus:

&lt;blockquote&gt;The NWCR is the largest study ever of individuals who were highly successful at long-term maintenance of weight loss. Although the large sample size and use of quantitative outcome measures are strengths of this study, several caveats are in order. First, the recruitment methods used (advertisements and mailings) are not likely to have resulted in random sampling of the general population of successful maintainers of weight loss, and so it is not clear to what extent the findings of this study can be generalized to all individuals successful at weight loss and maintenance.

 &lt;/blockquote&gt;  The authors of the study are careful not to leap to the conclusion that you seem to be. The article isn&#039;t supporting what you believe.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John<br />
Quit whining. Aziz isn&#8217;t calling the article his. He&#8217;s given credit to the authors. Just because you cited it first in the other thread doesn&#8217;t make it yours either.</p>
<blockquote><p>I have yet to see a SINGLE CITED REFERENCE FROM THE NAYSAYERS SUPPORTING THAT THE VAST MAJORITY OF OBESE PEOPLE CANT LOSE WEIGHT.  THIS IS THE CRUX OF YOUR ARGUMENT.  THE LEAST YOU CAN DO IS BACK IT UP.
</p></blockquote>
<p>Since you asked, check out the article you&#8217;re whining about.  From <a href="http://www.ajcn.org/cgi/reprint/66/2/239" rel="nofollow">the introduction</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Unfortunately, long-term follow-up indicates that most patients return to their baseline weights within 3-5 y after the end of treatment.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Most patients return to their baseline within 3-5y. Hmm&#8230; I wonder why&#8230; Well so do the authors of the article. In fact they conclude thus:</p>
<blockquote><p>The NWCR is the largest study ever of individuals who were highly successful at long-term maintenance of weight loss. Although the large sample size and use of quantitative outcome measures are strengths of this study, several caveats are in order. First, the recruitment methods used (advertisements and mailings) are not likely to have resulted in random sampling of the general population of successful maintainers of weight loss, and so it is not clear to what extent the findings of this study can be generalized to all individuals successful at weight loss and maintenance.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>  The authors of the study are careful not to leap to the conclusion that you seem to be. The article isn&#8217;t supporting what you believe.</p>
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		<title>By: JohnDakota</title>
		<link>http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156830</link>
		<dc:creator>JohnDakota</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 May 2008 20:07:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156830</guid>
		<description>BTW..Â  Aziz, in your degree or two in science did they ever teach you about academic integrity?Â  

I know I didn&#039;t author the article, but I did find it and provide the first analysis of it yesterday.Â  You ripping it off and calling it your own doesn&#039;t make it yours.Â  

The least you could have done is give credit to who actually found the manuscript.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>BTW..Â  Aziz, in your degree or two in science did they ever teach you about academic integrity?Â  </p>
<p>I know I didn&#8217;t author the article, but I did find it and provide the first analysis of it yesterday.Â  You ripping it off and calling it your own doesn&#8217;t make it yours.Â  </p>
<p>The least you could have done is give credit to who actually found the manuscript.</p>
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		<title>By: JohnDakota</title>
		<link>http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156821</link>
		<dc:creator>JohnDakota</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 May 2008 18:12:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156821</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m not doing any more work on this until the naysayers PROVE that the vast majority of obese people fall into a group who can&#039;t lose weight.Â  The crux of their argument, which has been from the start, is that anyone who loses weight is this 0.1% of the population.Â  At this point I&#039;m giving up on trying to provide a landslide of evidence because even the biggest landslide (i&#039;d say 700 people is pretty big) isn&#039;t going to do anything.Â  

I have yet to see a SINGLE CITED REFERENCE FROM THE NAYSAYERS SUPPORTING THAT THE VAST MAJORITY OF OBESE PEOPLE CANT LOSE WEIGHT.Â  THIS IS THE CRUX OF YOUR ARGUMENT.Â  THE LEAST YOU CAN DO IS BACK IT UP.Â Â  

It&#039;s very easy to sit back and keep telling you opposition that what they&#039;re providing is not enough.Â  Now we&#039;re saying what you&#039;ve provided is not enough.Â  All I&#039;ve read is a single news article conveying some work done on Fruit Fly fat cells.Â  Last I checked the physiology of a fruit fly is drastically different from a human.Â  Maybe the physiology ofÂ  a fruit fly is more comparable to an obese human then?Â Â  Is that what you guys are trying to say?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m not doing any more work on this until the naysayers PROVE that the vast majority of obese people fall into a group who can&#8217;t lose weight.Â  The crux of their argument, which has been from the start, is that anyone who loses weight is this 0.1% of the population.Â  At this point I&#8217;m giving up on trying to provide a landslide of evidence because even the biggest landslide (i&#8217;d say 700 people is pretty big) isn&#8217;t going to do anything.Â  </p>
<p>I have yet to see a SINGLE CITED REFERENCE FROM THE NAYSAYERS SUPPORTING THAT THE VAST MAJORITY OF OBESE PEOPLE CANT LOSE WEIGHT.Â  THIS IS THE CRUX OF YOUR ARGUMENT.Â  THE LEAST YOU CAN DO IS BACK IT UP.Â Â  </p>
<p>It&#8217;s very easy to sit back and keep telling you opposition that what they&#8217;re providing is not enough.Â  Now we&#8217;re saying what you&#8217;ve provided is not enough.Â  All I&#8217;ve read is a single news article conveying some work done on Fruit Fly fat cells.Â  Last I checked the physiology of a fruit fly is drastically different from a human.Â  Maybe the physiology ofÂ  a fruit fly is more comparable to an obese human then?Â Â  Is that what you guys are trying to say?</p>
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		<title>By: Elizabeth Reid</title>
		<link>http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156818</link>
		<dc:creator>Elizabeth Reid</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 May 2008 17:46:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156818</guid>
		<description>JohnDakota,

So I take it your search for a study in which obese people are subjected to &lt;strong&gt;any&lt;/strong&gt; behavioral intervention and achieve and maintain substantial weight loss is coming up empty?

It&#039;s almost as though behavioral interventions don&#039;t work.Â  Weird.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>JohnDakota,</p>
<p>So I take it your search for a study in which obese people are subjected to <strong>any</strong> behavioral intervention and achieve and maintain substantial weight loss is coming up empty?</p>
<p>It&#8217;s almost as though behavioral interventions don&#8217;t work.Â  Weird.</p>
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		<title>By: Elizabeth Reid</title>
		<link>http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156817</link>
		<dc:creator>Elizabeth Reid</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 May 2008 17:37:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://deanesmay.com/2008/05/26/study-obese-people-lose-more-than-50-lbs-for-more-than-5-years/#comment-156817</guid>
		<description>Aziz, do you really not get that these eight hundred people are a sample of people who have lost weight, not people who *need* to lose weight?

800 people would be a huge number if we started with a sample of randomly selected obese individuals from the population and showed that our intervention was able to get them all to become non-obese.Â  That&#039;s not what this paper is about.Â  It&#039;s about studying 800 of those rare individuals who have managed to lose weight, identified AFTER they have lost the weight.

As I said in an earlier thread, there are a substantial number of people who can run a mile in under five minutes.Â  There is a huge difference between taking 200 ordinary people and showing you can modify them so they can run a mile in under five minutes, and taking 200 people who *can* run a mile in five minutes and deciding that means that such individuals are not rare and therefore everyone should be able to do it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Aziz, do you really not get that these eight hundred people are a sample of people who have lost weight, not people who *need* to lose weight?</p>
<p>800 people would be a huge number if we started with a sample of randomly selected obese individuals from the population and showed that our intervention was able to get them all to become non-obese.Â  That&#8217;s not what this paper is about.Â  It&#8217;s about studying 800 of those rare individuals who have managed to lose weight, identified AFTER they have lost the weight.</p>
<p>As I said in an earlier thread, there are a substantial number of people who can run a mile in under five minutes.Â  There is a huge difference between taking 200 ordinary people and showing you can modify them so they can run a mile in under five minutes, and taking 200 people who *can* run a mile in five minutes and deciding that means that such individuals are not rare and therefore everyone should be able to do it.</p>
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