This will be hard for many Americans to understand, but the much-loved Jon Stewart comes off as a smug elitist with no common sense at all quite a lot of the time. Take, for example, the following video:
I can see how a Jon Stewart fan (or Jon Stewart himself, should he even notice the speck on the political landscape that is Dean’s World) would say, “Smug elitist? Really?” Um, yes. And if you would like to know why, here’s my best shot at explaining it. Most especially, this is an attempt to explain to liberals who are interested in winning future elections, or winning on political issues that matter to them. If all you want is to laugh at the stupid hicks, by all means disregard the following. But if you’re interested in learning something potentially useful, try to understand how Stewart is displaying a cultural blindness here that you may share, and how that might be a problem.
Please bear in mind that when I say any of this I am not advocating for Gingrich; my current plan is to vote for Obama in November. That is not the point. In the case of many so-called “cultural conservatives,” especially in certain parts of the country (like the South, which was solid-blue Democrat only a generation ago) it is understood that people are going to be sinners and that almost no one is a paragon of virtue; therefore the important thing is not that you sinned, the important thing is that you own up to it and ask forgiveness. Then, unless you’ve done certain very extreme things (like rape a child) it’s considered poor form NOT to forgive you.
It is further considered poor form to bring it up again, unless you’ve done it again recently.
This attitude goes beyond simple etiquette or “being nice”; it is an attitude so deep in the cultural bones of some people they don’t even think about it. To them it’s just common sense, practically a reflex. It’s just what is intuitively “right.”
The cultural attitude among these voters is going to be this: “Bill Clinton got impeached cuz he lied about it to a judge and lied about it on national TV. Newt admitted he had affairs, said he was sorry, moved on, and now y’all are dragging his angry ex- in to throw a bunch of sh** at him from ten, fifteen years ago. That ain’t right.” That would not be the “conservative” or “republican” line, that would be the ingrained cultural understanding of maybe a quarter to a third of America. It wouldn’t matter whether Gingrich was a Democrat or a Republican, a liberal or a conservative or a libertarian or even a Communist. No matter.
They don’t see this in an ideological way either; in fact those who make an ideology out of it probably seem a touch odd, like making an ideology out of wearing socks on both of your feet.
These folks would also have noticed immediately that Gingrich didn’t say bringing up his past marriage and throwing his ex-wife into the mix was despicable. Gingrich said it was close to despicable. That subtlety may have flown by Jon Stewart and his fans, as well as the hapless debate moderator. Heck, that may even seem weaselly to you. But believe it or not rednecks are not stupid people and it didn’t fly past them; if Gingrich had said it was despicable, a good chunk of that audience would have turned on him and not the moderator or the press. Gingrich’s remark–likely carefully prepared and rehearsed–was crafted in the exact way required to get the response it did from this group of voters. If someone from New York or Los Angeles doesn’t understand that, well, maybe they need to try.
Indeed, while the reasonable and sane Rich Lowry may think that debate moment was a long-term liability for Newt Gingrich, he may want to rethink. Lowry’s a conservative but that does not mean he shares this cultural trait. If Gingrich’s remark was really an intemperate outburst then maybe Lowry’s right, but if it was a carefully crafted and rehearsed line that Newt had ready (and I think it was), then Newt’s smarter than Lowry thinks he is and makes sure he knows his audience before he speaks.
If the goal of progressives–or even northeastern Republicans–is to win elections, they have to learn to understand and persuade–not mock, persuade–people who don’t share their cultural outlook. Jon Stewart likely has no idea that he comes off like a snotty East Coast jerk here, but he does. Even if he is funny, he looks to a lot of people like he’s being a funny and slightly clueless jerk. Since I share some (but not all) of the cultural roots I describe here, I can tell you: I laughed but I thought, “what a shallow jerk.”
I often laugh when Jon Stewart wants me to laugh, but I also often think he’s a jerk, utterly clueless about his own cultural assumptions and sensitivities. I think the reason he and his most ardent fans are often bewildered by voter behavior is because they think people like this are stupid when in reality these people think differently. Their own blindness to this way of thinking, their own assumption that it is some sort of gullible stupidity, makes them look condescending, arrogant, and/or cruel.
Put yourself in their shoes: how likely are you to vote for someone if you view them, or their supporters, as looking down their nose at you and being condescending and cruel? Maybe you would, especially if you’re from some of the rougher parts of cities like New York or Chicago, but otherwise, probably not. Especially if you’re an undecided voter (and in an election, undecided voters often matter most).
The cultural attitudes I describe are not found only in the south, they’re also common in all sorts of other parts of America, especially in the Midwest. But they are probably most prevalent in the South, which was once completely dominated by the Democratic Party. Southerners in general probably comprise about a quarter of the US electorate–no small thing when you only need half of it to win. Many of these people have come to see “liberal” as a bad word because they see liberals as smug condescending elitists who have no common sense–and everything I just described is common sense to them. It may not be common sense to you, but it’s common sense to them.
Jon Stewart is a funny man, but I think he has no idea just how often he comes off as smug elitist with no common sense to these generally not-stupid people. So no matter what your political stance, understanding this is crucial to understanding how to avoid losing votes you might otherwise win.
As a man who is often seen as lacking common sense and being snotty, I sympathize. I spend a lot of my life trying to figure out how to avoid being misunderstood. I have gotten better at it as I’ve gotten older, but it’s slow and hard progress, and I backslide easily. It is often awkward but if you’re trying to persuade someone, it’s usually a good idea to try to avoid coming off the wrong way. I sometimes envy people who can do it instinctively.
Communication is key to understanding, and understanding is key to successful relationships–and to successful politics. To put it in shorthand: did you want to be right, or did you want to win an election?
For the record, I’m pretty sure both Mitt Romney and Barack Obama know all this. It would probably help their supporters to understand it as well.

{ 16 comments }
Do women not realize that if a guy is going to cheat on his wife with you, he likely will cheat on you with someone else?
I adore John Stewart (I am, after all, a smug liberal Eastern elitist) but even I don’t really thing he’s likely to persuade anyone who doesn’t already agree with him. I tend to think that he’d be pretty unbearable to watch for anyone who didn’t already share his worldview. His observations tend to be funny and sharp, but it’s ultimately comedy, not analysis, and he oversimplifies a lot of things in a way that can bug this SLEE a little and would probably drive someone who wasn’t into him straight up a really tall tree.
I call bullshit. The reason Gingrich is popular is simple: the rabid rightwing base (the fringe, which unfortunately happens to completely dominate the early primary process in IA and SC) is intent on seeing Obama humiliated. They believe Newt can do that, on national television. They want Obama destroyed and put in his place the way Newt put Juan Williams in his place. And thats enough for them to basically ignore any of Newt’s indiscretions, ethics violations, and flaws.
Newt will probably not win the nom bec the rest of the primary season is in less fringe states (FL and MI and WI are good examples – just like you argued Dean in your earlier post).
Even if he won the nom, Newt would bomb worse than McCain or Dole did, because what drives his success so far is so alien to the vast bulk of conservative and GOP mainstream, let alone the general voting population.
its nothing to do with liberal elitism. Newt deserves to be mocked and the idiots who vote for him deserve every ounce of ridicule that Jon Stewart can muster. You’re making the mistake though of assuming that the people who thus deserve mockery are in any way at all representative of conservatives and Republicans in this country.
Dean’s right and he did a good job explaining his reasoning. There seems to be some knee jerk reactions going on here. As a lady, and I call myself that with good reason, I am female and elderly, I have seen a lot in my time. I have lived in Texas, Virginia, Alabama and Louisiana. I come from Midwest stock, Indiana, Michigan, via Oklahoma so I think I know a lot about the mentality of the people he is describing and he has it right.
Good job Dean. But we have to work on you about that Obama vote.
If that really is Aziz above I move Dean’s point is proven and case closed. And I really like Aziz.
John: there is nothing to dislike about Aziz except his apparent inability to type the letters “t” and “h” in sequence. (I fixed that for him. ;-)
I think Mitt Romney is viewed as the insider candidate because he’s got the backing of most of the party’s insiders, everybody knows he amassed the most money and the biggest organization, and everybody knows he’s a silver-spooner from an old political dynasty (and oddly enough, more of them probably know that last part outside of Michigan than in it). All those endorsements from sitting politicians don’t seem to help much.
Wall Street isn’t exactly in good odor these days either, and a Wall Street tycooon who’s been raking in the bucks while the rest of the country’s been shedding jobs and losing houses isn’t exactly making him look like an outsider. Practically everybody agrees that the relationship between Washington and Wall Street is incestuous and sick.
I think Gingrich is viewed as the outsider because of who’s fighting him: established politicians and established pundits.
Rightly or wrongly, I believe this is how many people view Newt Ginrich:
An old warhorse who fought some amazing battles, won some, then stumbled. He got caught doing things he shouldn’t have been doing, but rather than brazen it out he admitted he’d screwed things up and resigned. In some circles, that is called “resigning in disgrace,” but in others, it’s called “salvaging your honor by humbling yourself and starting over.”
If you’re into that whole Jacksonian code of honor thing, that’s not a hard sell on his image. It makes him easy to see as the guy who, having regained his honor, now wants to drive the vipers out of the establishment and bring us all back to a better place.
Within this from of reference–not necessarily your frame of reference, and not necessarily an unskewed one–recent revelations that Gingrich became close friends with Bill Clinton and tried to buck his own party and work on some major reforms with the President before impeachment and his own foolishnes sidetracked everything only make Gingrich look better. He looks like the old guy who really was trying to make things better back in the day, ready to even buck his own party before events overtook him. Makes him look like the guy who, after doing the right thing (apologizing and resigning) did his best to work within the system to make things better anyway, then finally decided he was fed up and it was time to mount up again and raise hell against the whole establishment, Democrat and Republican alike.
One thing Jacksonians revere is the old warrior who never gives up.
I’m talking the psychology of others here, not necessarily your own.
Ann Coulter hates Newt Gingrich. This is somewhat at odds with the notion that it’s the venom-spewing she-demons and orcs who are backing Gingrich. It’s got much more of the same feel that drove the likes of Ross Perot, the Tea Party and (please Aziz forgive me but….) Howard Dean.
Shorter version: Gingrich LOOKS LIKE a former member of the establishment who tried to make things better, then walked out in disgust and declared war.
Whether that’s a skewed view or not, I really don’t think his backers are stupid. Well, some of them are. There are always some. Certainly, they’re emotional, but then these are emotional times.
(While it is exhausting, past experience tells me I have to keep closing my pieces by saying this again: none of this has anything to do with what I “want to” happen, or the candidate I “want” to win, or any desire that there be chaos in Republican ranks. It is what I think is happening, and that is all.)
Elizabeth: Astute observations, though some of Stewart’s fans can’t seem to find a flaw in him. I on the other hand think he really does want to be a positive influence but his own blinders (and maybe his ego) are getting in the way.
Ruth: Well ma’am, the beautiful thing about this country is that we do get to resolve these differences in that voting booth and not on the barroom floor. You have my promise that if the next President should happen to be a Republican, I shall strive to be as supportive of him as I can and as Christian in my assessments as possible.
:)
no, as far as the base’s support goes, the Howard Dean comparison is a great one, actually back in those days we had the phrase “dated Dean, married Kerry”
today it would be “noodled Newt, married mitt” I suppose
but there’s simply zero explanation for Newt’s success other than Obama Derangement Syndrome.
I’m sure some people will try to claim that Dean’s spport was pure BDS but that’s untrue, it was actually anti-Iraq War sentiment that gave him the appeal. Either way, both Dean and Newt are tapping into the latest number-one concern of the strident base.
John, you teased a bit above but you havent indicated your serious disagreement with my post. Are you misreading my quite careful and measured comment above as some kind of indictment against the entire Republican base? I urge you to re-read paragraph 3.
Anyway Newt is not going to win Florida. Latest polls have his support cratering:
http://jacksonville.com/opinion/blog/403455/mike-marino/2012-01-26/new-florida-q-poll-mitt-romney-tied-obama-gingrich-fares
I think the only state where he will be seriously competitive again prior to Super Tuesday will be Arizona. Super Tuesday is mostly proportional delegate allocation, so Romney will build up a big cushion, and that wil seal the deal on inevitability, since all subsequent contests are winner-take-all from April onwards its unlikely Newt can make up the difference.
I am less convinced than you that it wasn’t BDS that drove the Dean campaign, even if some of his supporters didn’t like seeing it that way (disclosure: I was a harsh anti-Dean critic). But in any case, Dean brought energy and enthusiasm and new voters into his party. Which is what Gingrich is doing now. So far anyway.
“Dated Dean, Married Kerry” would also be an unfortunate-seeming comparison for Republicans looking at upstart Gingrich right now, because Kerry looked the most electable like Mitt does now, Kerry was another Massachussetts moderate like Mitt, Kerry had the money and organization like Mitt, and Kerry LOST.
I maintain that Gingrich does not need Florida to win the nomination, he only needs a strong showing there to convince voters in subsequent primaries that he’s substantive. The very idea that he would be neck-and-neck with Romney at this point was nearly inconceivable four weeks ago. A strong second place in Florida for Newt, where all the odds are against him, will help him, whereas a win would be an earthquake for him.
In contemplating things this morning, as I mentioned in another thread, I have now come to a conclusion. I am no longer uncommitted, and my disclaimer shall no longer appear on future comments. The disclaimer is withdrawn from this point forward. I shall vote for Newt Gingrich in the Michigan primary, because I want the battle of ideas in November it would bring. Enough of the status quo. Let’s get it on.
Aziz wrote:
but there’s simply zero explanation for Newt’s success other than Obama Derangement Syndrome.
Translation: “Inconceivable!”
Reality is not constrained by the limitations of your creativity.
Politico has an interesting piece up from an “on the ground” perspective on who in Florida is going for Mitt vs. who is going for Newt and it looks a bit more like I imagined than Aziz (although Aziz is not -entirely- wrong). The country-club Republican set is all about Mitt and the working class Republicans, probably almost entirely Jacksonian in attitude, are crowding Gingrich rallies.
Aziz,
Starting with an ad hominem argument destroys the credibility of anything that follows. Therefore there was no reason to read the rest, assuming it to be more rant.
I had become to give credence to your positions, even though we more often disagree. For shame.
sandi, read my third paragraph more carefully
Aziz,
I see nothing in the third paragraph that excuses the ad hominem nature of the first paragraph.
I’m late to the party, but my take:
Jon Stewart: A man with a bachelor’s and master’s in Smugness, and a PhD in “I’m Smarter than You”, from Pompous Ass University. And a complete political hack. Great sense of humor, though.
Newt: Most of the true Obama haters I know are against Newt. Their basic argument is that Newt has no chance of winning the real election. His negatives are too high, especially among moderates and independents.
Since the real goal is to get Obama out of office at all costs, they are willing to back someone with less than ideal conservative cred. I heard one guy say, “If I have to support a moderate slickster millionaire Mormon to get Obama out of office, so be it.”
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