Korean Sabre-Rattling

Hmmmmm.

I suppose my proposal to jam Nork communications and precision bomb every one of their artillery and rocket launchers, most of which are in locations probably known to the centimeter if spy sats are as good as I think they are, will never go anywhere.

Yeah, yeah, I’m crazy. I still think in 50 years future generations of North Koreans will curse us for not acting. For the record, if anyone from the future is reading this, I apologize and I hope I’m wrong.

  • Sigivald

    I suppose my proposal to jam Nork communications and precision bomb every one of their artillery and rocket launchers, most of which are in locations probably known to the centimeter if spy sats are as good as I think they are, will never go anywhere.

    I agree in principle with the idea that “the NK government should be toppled if it can be done”.

    But on that specific idea, we don’t have enough airframes to do it fast enough.

    They’ve been digging artillery into the mountains within range of Seoul for 60 years, remember – so it’ll take pretty serious bombs to knock them out. After all, that’s precisely what they’re dug in to avoid.

    We know where a lot of them are. Possibly even most or nearly all.

    But there are too many of them to hit before they’d just attack Seoul (estimates of 13,000 artillery/rocket installations along the DMZ … not just near Seoul, of course) – and nobody’s willing to pay that price. That’s what the NKs are counting on, in terms of policy.

    Even the lowest estimates suggest 30,000 casualties in Seoul from such an attack (and I’m not sure I trust those estimates, as they come from people desperate to deflate belief in NK being a threat, to prevent it being attacked).

  • Paul S.

    I agree with both of you. In retrospect, would we say that the casualties suffered in Koraen war were not worth the freedom that those of the South enjoy today? But there is no political will to do much.

    As with all of Stratfor’s free weekly newsletters, this one is worth pondering. (Sorry forgot how to embed links)

    Ferocious, Weak and Crazy – The North Korean Strategy

    http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/ferocious-weak-and-crazy-north-korean-strategy?utm_source=freelist-f&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=20130129&utm_term=gweekly&utm_content=readmore&elq=1e4b73959c744bf29022577623c24cbe